{
  "envelope_version": "1",
  "kind": "battle_summary",
  "payload": {
    "pair_id": "cerave-vs-cetaphil",
    "brand_a": "CeraVe",
    "brand_b": "Cetaphil",
    "category_id": "beauty.skincare.moisturizer",
    "edition": "2026-w44",
    "methodology_version": "ACM-1.0",
    "prereg_hash": "b7322e0114b30bea6242411f95071dc03a44e9fe03d53655abdb24d5e0228cd3",
    "as_of": "2026-10-31T05:00:00Z",
    "sample_data": false,
    "ci_level": 0.95,
    "ci_method": "bootstrap_wilson_hull",
    "consensus_ci_method": "bootstrap_wilson_mover",
    "consensus": {
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      "ci_low": 0.781991,
      "ci_high": 0.840398,
      "judges_leaning_a": 10,
      "judges_leaning_b": 0,
      "judges_too_close": 0,
      "judges_total": 10,
      "small_sample_calibration": "student_t_kappa",
      "unconditional_share_a": {
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        "ci_low": 0.782488,
        "ci_high": 0.839643
      },
      "none_rate": {
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        "ci_low": 0,
        "ci_high": 0.061975
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    },
    "per_judge": [
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        "gateway": "openrouter",
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        "ci_low": 0.780201,
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        "unconditional_share_a": {
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        "none_rate": {
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          "ci_low": 0,
          "ci_high": 0.06195
        }
      },
      {
        "judge_id": "jdg-live-deepseek-v4-1-flash-20261017-or-v1",
        "model_label": "deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash-20261017 @ deepseek-v4.1-flash-20261017 via OpenRouter",
        "gateway": "openrouter",
        "share_a": 0.638889,
        "ci_low": 0.54432,
        "ci_high": 0.726115,
        "unconditional_share_a": {
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        },
        "none_rate": {
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          "ci_low": 0,
          "ci_high": 0.06195
        }
      },
      {
        "judge_id": "jdg-live-gemini-3-8-flash-20260902-or-v3",
        "model_label": "google/gemini-3.8-flash-20260902 @ gemini-3.8-flash-20260902 via OpenRouter",
        "gateway": "openrouter",
        "share_a": 0.865278,
        "ci_low": 0.78009,
        "ci_high": 0.929661,
        "unconditional_share_a": {
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          "ci_low": 0.78009,
          "ci_high": 0.929661
        },
        "none_rate": {
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          "ci_low": 0,
          "ci_high": 0.06195
        }
      },
      {
        "judge_id": "jdg-live-glm-5-3-flash-20260826-or-v3",
        "model_label": "z-ai/glm-5.3-flash-20260826 @ glm-5.3-flash-20260826 via OpenRouter",
        "gateway": "openrouter",
        "share_a": 0.794444,
        "ci_low": 0.729716,
        "ci_high": 0.851642,
        "unconditional_share_a": {
          "rate": 0.794444,
          "ci_low": 0.729716,
          "ci_high": 0.851642
        },
        "none_rate": {
          "rate": 0,
          "ci_low": 0,
          "ci_high": 0.06195
        }
      },
      {
        "judge_id": "jdg-live-gpt-6-luna-20260922-or-v1",
        "model_label": "openai/gpt-6-luna-20260922 @ gpt-6-luna-20260922 via OpenRouter",
        "gateway": "openrouter",
        "share_a": 0.6625,
        "ci_low": 0.598703,
        "ci_high": 0.721026,
        "unconditional_share_a": {
          "rate": 0.6625,
          "ci_low": 0.598703,
          "ci_high": 0.721026
        },
        "none_rate": {
          "rate": 0,
          "ci_low": 0,
          "ci_high": 0.06195
        }
      },
      {
        "judge_id": "jdg-live-grok-4-7-20260916-or-v2",
        "model_label": "x-ai/grok-4.7-20260916 @ grok-4.7-20260916 via OpenRouter",
        "gateway": "openrouter",
        "share_a": 0.9125,
        "ci_low": 0.860751,
        "ci_high": 0.955398,
        "unconditional_share_a": {
          "rate": 0.9125,
          "ci_low": 0.860751,
          "ci_high": 0.955398
        },
        "none_rate": {
          "rate": 0,
          "ci_low": 0,
          "ci_high": 0.06195
        }
      },
      {
        "judge_id": "jdg-live-kimi-k3-1-pro-20261023-or-v1",
        "model_label": "moonshotai/kimi-k3.1-pro-20261023 @ kimi-k3.1-pro-20261023 via OpenRouter",
        "gateway": "openrouter",
        "share_a": 0.815278,
        "ci_low": 0.736842,
        "ci_high": 0.881055,
        "unconditional_share_a": {
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          "ci_low": 0.736842,
          "ci_high": 0.881055
        },
        "none_rate": {
          "rate": 0,
          "ci_low": 0,
          "ci_high": 0.06195
        }
      },
      {
        "judge_id": "jdg-live-llama-4-maverick-17b-128e-instruct-or-v1",
        "model_label": "meta-llama/llama-4-maverick-17b-128e-instruct @ llama-4-maverick-17b-128e-instruct via OpenRouter",
        "gateway": "openrouter",
        "share_a": 0.770833,
        "ci_low": 0.685883,
        "ci_high": 0.84376,
        "unconditional_share_a": {
          "rate": 0.770833,
          "ci_low": 0.685883,
          "ci_high": 0.84376
        },
        "none_rate": {
          "rate": 0,
          "ci_low": 0,
          "ci_high": 0.06195
        }
      },
      {
        "judge_id": "jdg-live-mistral-small-2603-or-v1",
        "model_label": "mistralai/mistral-small-2603 @ mistral-small-2603 via OpenRouter",
        "gateway": "openrouter",
        "share_a": 0.934722,
        "ci_low": 0.894981,
        "ci_high": 0.964751,
        "unconditional_share_a": {
          "rate": 0.934722,
          "ci_low": 0.894981,
          "ci_high": 0.964751
        },
        "none_rate": {
          "rate": 0,
          "ci_low": 0,
          "ci_high": 0.06195
        }
      },
      {
        "judge_id": "jdg-live-qwen3-8-flash-20260826-or-v1",
        "model_label": "qwen/qwen3.8-flash-20260826 @ qwen3.8-flash-20260826 via OpenRouter",
        "gateway": "openrouter",
        "share_a": 0.882353,
        "ci_low": 0.822051,
        "ci_high": 0.930551,
        "unconditional_share_a": {
          "rate": 0.882353,
          "ci_low": 0.822051,
          "ci_high": 0.930551
        },
        "none_rate": {
          "rate": 0,
          "ci_low": 0,
          "ci_high": 0.062193
        }
      }
    ],
    "inclusion": {
      "weights": [
        {
          "judge_id": "jdg-live-claude-haiku-5-5-20261007-or-v1",
          "family": "anthropic",
          "weight": 0.1
        },
        {
          "judge_id": "jdg-live-deepseek-v4-1-flash-20261017-or-v1",
          "family": "deepseek",
          "weight": 0.1
        },
        {
          "judge_id": "jdg-live-gemini-3-8-flash-20260902-or-v3",
          "family": "google",
          "weight": 0.1
        },
        {
          "judge_id": "jdg-live-glm-5-3-flash-20260826-or-v3",
          "family": "z-ai",
          "weight": 0.1
        },
        {
          "judge_id": "jdg-live-gpt-6-luna-20260922-or-v1",
          "family": "openai",
          "weight": 0.1
        },
        {
          "judge_id": "jdg-live-grok-4-7-20260916-or-v2",
          "family": "xai",
          "weight": 0.1
        },
        {
          "judge_id": "jdg-live-kimi-k3-1-pro-20261023-or-v1",
          "family": "moonshot",
          "weight": 0.1
        },
        {
          "judge_id": "jdg-live-llama-4-maverick-17b-128e-instruct-or-v1",
          "family": "meta",
          "weight": 0.1
        },
        {
          "judge_id": "jdg-live-mistral-small-2603-or-v1",
          "family": "mistral",
          "weight": 0.1
        },
        {
          "judge_id": "jdg-live-qwen3-8-flash-20260826-or-v1",
          "family": "qwen",
          "weight": 0.1
        }
      ],
      "excluded_judges": [],
      "planned_scenarios": 60,
      "dropped_scenarios": 0,
      "withheld_rows": [
        {
          "row_type": "need",
          "key": "combination_skin_seasonal_balance",
          "reason": "min_scenarios"
        },
        {
          "row_type": "need",
          "key": "fragrance_free_minimalist_daily_comfort",
          "reason": "min_scenarios"
        },
        {
          "row_type": "need",
          "key": "luminous_dewy_glow_for_dull_complexion",
          "reason": "min_scenarios"
        },
        {
          "row_type": "need",
          "key": "mess_free_dispensing_and_travel_ready_packaging",
          "reason": "min_scenarios"
        },
        {
          "row_type": "need",
          "key": "post_shave_and_post_cleanse_quick_absorption",
          "reason": "min_scenarios"
        },
        {
          "row_type": "need",
          "key": "rich_overnight_cream_for_dry_winter_air",
          "reason": "min_scenarios"
        },
        {
          "row_type": "need",
          "key": "smooth_morning_layering_under_makeup",
          "reason": "min_scenarios"
        },
        {
          "row_type": "need",
          "key": "smoothing_fine_dry_lines_for_mature_skin_appearance",
          "reason": "min_scenarios"
        },
        {
          "row_type": "need",
          "key": "value_and_easy_restocking_for_daily_use",
          "reason": "min_scenarios"
        },
        {
          "row_type": "need",
          "key": "weightless_gel_hydration_for_oily_t_zone",
          "reason": "min_scenarios"
        }
      ]
    },
    "by_need": [],
    "stale_flags": [
      "brand_names_only"
    ],
    "n_scenarios": 60,
    "precision_label": "measured",
    "languages": [
      "en"
    ],
    "presentation": "brand_names_only"
  },
  "payload_sha256": "64fac7a96d9cc2029823faecb54b410ddad0f42214bd96cafdffb39a57bce609",
  "signature": {
    "alg": "EdDSA",
    "kid": "FnG9tqyrr6Y0YUh6teXhpERjAKUSfzL78m4WdnEZ9Jg",
    "key_class": "production",
    "jws": "eyJhbGciOiJFZERTQSIsImN0eSI6ImJhdHRsZV9zdW1tYXJ5Iiwia2lkIjoiRm5HOXRxeXJyNlkwWVVoNnRlWGhwRVJqQUtVU2Z6TDc4bTRXZG5FWjlKZyIsInR5cCI6InBpY2tiZW5jaC1zbmFwc2hvdCtqd3MifQ..LqoTcGcOnb_SUVuvM2IlIJfJ7_BgpbulcRvoG80-qWX9nCaYadgUAK2ua2C-jqLXFMpwodtSvKnRjIhfI47BBQ"
  }
}