{
  "envelope_version": "1",
  "kind": "battle_summary",
  "payload": {
    "pair_id": "instacart-vs-walmart",
    "brand_a": "Instacart",
    "brand_b": "Walmart",
    "category_id": "food.delivery.grocery",
    "edition": "2026-w44",
    "methodology_version": "ACM-1.0",
    "prereg_hash": "0849d0005464ccf147a0cd1d352ca8f5ffade51df17644676edc9df52f011b6b",
    "as_of": "2026-10-31T05:00:00Z",
    "sample_data": false,
    "ci_level": 0.95,
    "ci_method": "bootstrap_wilson_hull",
    "consensus_ci_method": "bootstrap_wilson_mover",
    "consensus": {
      "share_a": 0.612831,
      "ci_low": 0.508927,
      "ci_high": 0.70734,
      "judges_leaning_a": 4,
      "judges_leaning_b": 0,
      "judges_too_close": 6,
      "judges_total": 10,
      "small_sample_calibration": "student_t_kappa",
      "unconditional_share_a": {
        "rate": 0.612831,
        "ci_low": 0.507961,
        "ci_high": 0.708272
      },
      "none_rate": {
        "rate": 0,
        "ci_low": 0,
        "ci_high": 0.076881
      }
    },
    "per_judge": [
      {
        "judge_id": "jdg-live-claude-haiku-5-5-20261007-or-v1",
        "model_label": "anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5-20261007 @ claude-haiku-5.5-20261007 via OpenRouter",
        "gateway": "openrouter",
        "share_a": 0.59375,
        "ci_low": 0.46866,
        "ci_high": 0.72341,
        "unconditional_share_a": {
          "rate": 0.59375,
          "ci_low": 0.46866,
          "ci_high": 0.72341
        },
        "none_rate": {
          "rate": 0,
          "ci_low": 0,
          "ci_high": 0.076863
        }
      },
      {
        "judge_id": "jdg-live-deepseek-v4-1-flash-20261017-or-v1",
        "model_label": "deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash-20261017 @ deepseek-v4.1-flash-20261017 via OpenRouter",
        "gateway": "openrouter",
        "share_a": 0.666667,
        "ci_low": 0.557162,
        "ci_high": 0.769315,
        "unconditional_share_a": {
          "rate": 0.666667,
          "ci_low": 0.557162,
          "ci_high": 0.769315
        },
        "none_rate": {
          "rate": 0,
          "ci_low": 0,
          "ci_high": 0.076863
        }
      },
      {
        "judge_id": "jdg-live-gemini-3-8-flash-20260902-or-v3",
        "model_label": "google/gemini-3.8-flash-20260902 @ gemini-3.8-flash-20260902 via OpenRouter",
        "gateway": "openrouter",
        "share_a": 0.536458,
        "ci_low": 0.402635,
        "ci_high": 0.676924,
        "unconditional_share_a": {
          "rate": 0.536458,
          "ci_low": 0.402635,
          "ci_high": 0.676924
        },
        "none_rate": {
          "rate": 0,
          "ci_low": 0,
          "ci_high": 0.076863
        }
      },
      {
        "judge_id": "jdg-live-glm-5-3-flash-20260826-or-v3",
        "model_label": "z-ai/glm-5.3-flash-20260826 @ glm-5.3-flash-20260826 via OpenRouter",
        "gateway": "openrouter",
        "share_a": 0.630208,
        "ci_low": 0.509529,
        "ci_high": 0.738394,
        "unconditional_share_a": {
          "rate": 0.630208,
          "ci_low": 0.509529,
          "ci_high": 0.738394
        },
        "none_rate": {
          "rate": 0,
          "ci_low": 0,
          "ci_high": 0.076863
        }
      },
      {
        "judge_id": "jdg-live-gpt-6-luna-20260922-or-v1",
        "model_label": "openai/gpt-6-luna-20260922 @ gpt-6-luna-20260922 via OpenRouter",
        "gateway": "openrouter",
        "share_a": 0.484211,
        "ci_low": 0.377103,
        "ci_high": 0.593454,
        "unconditional_share_a": {
          "rate": 0.484211,
          "ci_low": 0.377103,
          "ci_high": 0.593454
        },
        "none_rate": {
          "rate": 0,
          "ci_low": 0,
          "ci_high": 0.077044
        }
      },
      {
        "judge_id": "jdg-live-grok-4-7-20260916-or-v2",
        "model_label": "x-ai/grok-4.7-20260916 @ grok-4.7-20260916 via OpenRouter",
        "gateway": "openrouter",
        "share_a": 0.493056,
        "ci_low": 0.370599,
        "ci_high": 0.620915,
        "unconditional_share_a": {
          "rate": 0.493056,
          "ci_low": 0.370599,
          "ci_high": 0.620915
        },
        "none_rate": {
          "rate": 0,
          "ci_low": 0,
          "ci_high": 0.076863
        }
      },
      {
        "judge_id": "jdg-live-kimi-k3-1-pro-20261023-or-v1",
        "model_label": "moonshotai/kimi-k3.1-pro-20261023 @ kimi-k3.1-pro-20261023 via OpenRouter",
        "gateway": "openrouter",
        "share_a": 0.541667,
        "ci_low": 0.409304,
        "ci_high": 0.671327,
        "unconditional_share_a": {
          "rate": 0.541667,
          "ci_low": 0.409304,
          "ci_high": 0.671327
        },
        "none_rate": {
          "rate": 0,
          "ci_low": 0,
          "ci_high": 0.076863
        }
      },
      {
        "judge_id": "jdg-live-llama-4-maverick-17b-128e-instruct-or-v1",
        "model_label": "meta-llama/llama-4-maverick-17b-128e-instruct @ llama-4-maverick-17b-128e-instruct via OpenRouter",
        "gateway": "openrouter",
        "share_a": 0.911458,
        "ci_low": 0.826114,
        "ci_high": 0.970886,
        "unconditional_share_a": {
          "rate": 0.911458,
          "ci_low": 0.826114,
          "ci_high": 0.970886
        },
        "none_rate": {
          "rate": 0,
          "ci_low": 0,
          "ci_high": 0.076863
        }
      },
      {
        "judge_id": "jdg-live-mistral-small-2603-or-v1",
        "model_label": "mistralai/mistral-small-2603 @ mistral-small-2603 via OpenRouter",
        "gateway": "openrouter",
        "share_a": 0.598958,
        "ci_low": 0.490908,
        "ci_high": 0.701606,
        "unconditional_share_a": {
          "rate": 0.598958,
          "ci_low": 0.490908,
          "ci_high": 0.701606
        },
        "none_rate": {
          "rate": 0,
          "ci_low": 0,
          "ci_high": 0.076863
        }
      },
      {
        "judge_id": "jdg-live-qwen3-8-flash-20260826-or-v1",
        "model_label": "qwen/qwen3.8-flash-20260826 @ qwen3.8-flash-20260826 via OpenRouter",
        "gateway": "openrouter",
        "share_a": 0.671875,
        "ci_low": 0.554573,
        "ci_high": 0.779925,
        "unconditional_share_a": {
          "rate": 0.671875,
          "ci_low": 0.554573,
          "ci_high": 0.779925
        },
        "none_rate": {
          "rate": 0,
          "ci_low": 0,
          "ci_high": 0.076863
        }
      }
    ],
    "inclusion": {
      "weights": [
        {
          "judge_id": "jdg-live-claude-haiku-5-5-20261007-or-v1",
          "family": "anthropic",
          "weight": 0.1
        },
        {
          "judge_id": "jdg-live-deepseek-v4-1-flash-20261017-or-v1",
          "family": "deepseek",
          "weight": 0.1
        },
        {
          "judge_id": "jdg-live-gemini-3-8-flash-20260902-or-v3",
          "family": "google",
          "weight": 0.1
        },
        {
          "judge_id": "jdg-live-glm-5-3-flash-20260826-or-v3",
          "family": "z-ai",
          "weight": 0.1
        },
        {
          "judge_id": "jdg-live-gpt-6-luna-20260922-or-v1",
          "family": "openai",
          "weight": 0.1
        },
        {
          "judge_id": "jdg-live-grok-4-7-20260916-or-v2",
          "family": "xai",
          "weight": 0.1
        },
        {
          "judge_id": "jdg-live-kimi-k3-1-pro-20261023-or-v1",
          "family": "moonshot",
          "weight": 0.1
        },
        {
          "judge_id": "jdg-live-llama-4-maverick-17b-128e-instruct-or-v1",
          "family": "meta",
          "weight": 0.1
        },
        {
          "judge_id": "jdg-live-mistral-small-2603-or-v1",
          "family": "mistral",
          "weight": 0.1
        },
        {
          "judge_id": "jdg-live-qwen3-8-flash-20260826-or-v1",
          "family": "qwen",
          "weight": 0.1
        }
      ],
      "excluded_judges": [],
      "planned_scenarios": 48,
      "dropped_scenarios": 0,
      "withheld_rows": [
        {
          "row_type": "need",
          "key": "bulk_pantry_and_heavy_beverages",
          "reason": "min_scenarios"
        },
        {
          "row_type": "need",
          "key": "last_minute_meal_ingredients",
          "reason": "min_scenarios"
        },
        {
          "row_type": "need",
          "key": "produce_and_perishables_freshness",
          "reason": "min_scenarios"
        },
        {
          "row_type": "need",
          "key": "repeat_list_and_household_reordering",
          "reason": "min_scenarios"
        },
        {
          "row_type": "need",
          "key": "scheduled_delivery_window_planning",
          "reason": "min_scenarios"
        },
        {
          "row_type": "need",
          "key": "substitution_control_and_replacement_approval",
          "reason": "min_scenarios"
        },
        {
          "row_type": "need",
          "key": "value_conscious_recurring_groceries",
          "reason": "min_scenarios"
        },
        {
          "row_type": "need",
          "key": "weekly_family_restock",
          "reason": "min_scenarios"
        }
      ]
    },
    "by_need": [],
    "stale_flags": [
      "brand_names_only"
    ],
    "n_scenarios": 48,
    "precision_label": "measured",
    "languages": [
      "en"
    ],
    "presentation": "brand_names_only"
  },
  "payload_sha256": "c08345c0b65f852f1d610f4546265b9dcc14469a0396ea2156ac99b9adb6081e",
  "signature": {
    "alg": "EdDSA",
    "kid": "FnG9tqyrr6Y0YUh6teXhpERjAKUSfzL78m4WdnEZ9Jg",
    "key_class": "production",
    "jws": "eyJhbGciOiJFZERTQSIsImN0eSI6ImJhdHRsZV9zdW1tYXJ5Iiwia2lkIjoiRm5HOXRxeXJyNlkwWVVoNnRlWGhwRVJqQUtVU2Z6TDc4bTRXZG5FWjlKZyIsInR5cCI6InBpY2tiZW5jaC1zbmFwc2hvdCtqd3MifQ..zMIyJMg1P7gtmwa5aIC-PRScPTemUcEFDHTv-JLOCUf0ZGJR7n3_Au4OL3rd2tfaSteWVLRoMZRwLzUAb3sEAg"
  }
}
