{
  "envelope_version": "1",
  "kind": "battle_summary",
  "payload": {
    "pair_id": "michelin-vs-goodyear",
    "brand_a": "Michelin",
    "brand_b": "Goodyear",
    "category_id": "auto.tires",
    "edition": "2026-w44",
    "methodology_version": "ACM-1.0",
    "prereg_hash": "ee692eb57b5e4d03a631ea3ea013ea01cf4a87d6a43258344860c665041277e1",
    "as_of": "2026-10-31T05:00:00Z",
    "sample_data": false,
    "ci_level": 0.95,
    "ci_method": "bootstrap_wilson_hull",
    "consensus_ci_method": "bootstrap_wilson_mover",
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      "ci_high": 0.877131,
      "judges_leaning_a": 10,
      "judges_leaning_b": 0,
      "judges_too_close": 0,
      "judges_total": 10,
      "small_sample_calibration": "student_t_kappa",
      "unconditional_share_a": {
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        "ci_low": 0.744559,
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      "none_rate": {
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        "ci_high": 0.06195
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        }
      },
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        "gateway": "openrouter",
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        "unconditional_share_a": {
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        }
      },
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        "model_label": "google/gemini-3.8-flash-20260902 @ gemini-3.8-flash-20260902 via OpenRouter",
        "gateway": "openrouter",
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        "ci_low": 0.690592,
        "ci_high": 0.902709,
        "unconditional_share_a": {
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          "ci_high": 0.902709
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        "none_rate": {
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          "ci_low": 0,
          "ci_high": 0.06195
        }
      },
      {
        "judge_id": "jdg-live-glm-5-3-flash-20260826-or-v3",
        "model_label": "z-ai/glm-5.3-flash-20260826 @ glm-5.3-flash-20260826 via OpenRouter",
        "gateway": "openrouter",
        "share_a": 0.8875,
        "ci_low": 0.789557,
        "ci_high": 0.951847,
        "unconditional_share_a": {
          "rate": 0.8875,
          "ci_low": 0.789557,
          "ci_high": 0.951847
        },
        "none_rate": {
          "rate": 0,
          "ci_low": 0,
          "ci_high": 0.06195
        }
      },
      {
        "judge_id": "jdg-live-gpt-6-luna-20260922-or-v1",
        "model_label": "openai/gpt-6-luna-20260922 @ gpt-6-luna-20260922 via OpenRouter",
        "gateway": "openrouter",
        "share_a": 0.683333,
        "ci_low": 0.620174,
        "ci_high": 0.740546,
        "unconditional_share_a": {
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          "ci_low": 0.620174,
          "ci_high": 0.740546
        },
        "none_rate": {
          "rate": 0,
          "ci_low": 0,
          "ci_high": 0.06195
        }
      },
      {
        "judge_id": "jdg-live-grok-4-7-20260916-or-v2",
        "model_label": "x-ai/grok-4.7-20260916 @ grok-4.7-20260916 via OpenRouter",
        "gateway": "openrouter",
        "share_a": 0.825,
        "ci_low": 0.713458,
        "ci_high": 0.910796,
        "unconditional_share_a": {
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          "ci_low": 0.713458,
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        "none_rate": {
          "rate": 0,
          "ci_low": 0,
          "ci_high": 0.06195
        }
      },
      {
        "judge_id": "jdg-live-kimi-k3-1-pro-20261023-or-v1",
        "model_label": "moonshotai/kimi-k3.1-pro-20261023 @ kimi-k3.1-pro-20261023 via OpenRouter",
        "gateway": "openrouter",
        "share_a": 0.758333,
        "ci_low": 0.653739,
        "ci_high": 0.84413,
        "unconditional_share_a": {
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          "ci_low": 0.653739,
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        },
        "none_rate": {
          "rate": 0,
          "ci_low": 0,
          "ci_high": 0.06195
        }
      },
      {
        "judge_id": "jdg-live-llama-4-maverick-17b-128e-instruct-or-v1",
        "model_label": "meta-llama/llama-4-maverick-17b-128e-instruct @ llama-4-maverick-17b-128e-instruct via OpenRouter",
        "gateway": "openrouter",
        "share_a": 0.8875,
        "ci_low": 0.820439,
        "ci_high": 0.938978,
        "unconditional_share_a": {
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          "ci_low": 0.820439,
          "ci_high": 0.938978
        },
        "none_rate": {
          "rate": 0,
          "ci_low": 0,
          "ci_high": 0.06195
        }
      },
      {
        "judge_id": "jdg-live-mistral-small-2603-or-v1",
        "model_label": "mistralai/mistral-small-2603 @ mistral-small-2603 via OpenRouter",
        "gateway": "openrouter",
        "share_a": 0.880556,
        "ci_low": 0.798073,
        "ci_high": 0.943473,
        "unconditional_share_a": {
          "rate": 0.880556,
          "ci_low": 0.798073,
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        },
        "none_rate": {
          "rate": 0,
          "ci_low": 0,
          "ci_high": 0.06195
        }
      },
      {
        "judge_id": "jdg-live-qwen3-8-flash-20260826-or-v1",
        "model_label": "qwen/qwen3.8-flash-20260826 @ qwen3.8-flash-20260826 via OpenRouter",
        "gateway": "openrouter",
        "share_a": 0.891667,
        "ci_low": 0.830936,
        "ci_high": 0.938855,
        "unconditional_share_a": {
          "rate": 0.891667,
          "ci_low": 0.830936,
          "ci_high": 0.938855
        },
        "none_rate": {
          "rate": 0,
          "ci_low": 0,
          "ci_high": 0.06195
        }
      }
    ],
    "inclusion": {
      "weights": [
        {
          "judge_id": "jdg-live-claude-haiku-5-5-20261007-or-v1",
          "family": "anthropic",
          "weight": 0.1
        },
        {
          "judge_id": "jdg-live-deepseek-v4-1-flash-20261017-or-v1",
          "family": "deepseek",
          "weight": 0.1
        },
        {
          "judge_id": "jdg-live-gemini-3-8-flash-20260902-or-v3",
          "family": "google",
          "weight": 0.1
        },
        {
          "judge_id": "jdg-live-glm-5-3-flash-20260826-or-v3",
          "family": "z-ai",
          "weight": 0.1
        },
        {
          "judge_id": "jdg-live-gpt-6-luna-20260922-or-v1",
          "family": "openai",
          "weight": 0.1
        },
        {
          "judge_id": "jdg-live-grok-4-7-20260916-or-v2",
          "family": "xai",
          "weight": 0.1
        },
        {
          "judge_id": "jdg-live-kimi-k3-1-pro-20261023-or-v1",
          "family": "moonshot",
          "weight": 0.1
        },
        {
          "judge_id": "jdg-live-llama-4-maverick-17b-128e-instruct-or-v1",
          "family": "meta",
          "weight": 0.1
        },
        {
          "judge_id": "jdg-live-mistral-small-2603-or-v1",
          "family": "mistral",
          "weight": 0.1
        },
        {
          "judge_id": "jdg-live-qwen3-8-flash-20260826-or-v1",
          "family": "qwen",
          "weight": 0.1
        }
      ],
      "excluded_judges": [],
      "planned_scenarios": 60,
      "dropped_scenarios": 0,
      "withheld_rows": [
        {
          "row_type": "need",
          "key": "heavy_crossover_and_ev_load_support",
          "reason": "min_scenarios"
        },
        {
          "row_type": "need",
          "key": "heavy_rain_and_wet_pavement_grip",
          "reason": "min_scenarios"
        },
        {
          "row_type": "need",
          "key": "high_mileage_daily_highway_commuting",
          "reason": "min_scenarios"
        },
        {
          "row_type": "need",
          "key": "pickup_and_suv_all_terrain_durability",
          "reason": "min_scenarios"
        },
        {
          "row_type": "need",
          "key": "quiet_cabin_and_plush_touring_comfort",
          "reason": "min_scenarios"
        },
        {
          "row_type": "need",
          "key": "sporty_cornering_and_steering_response",
          "reason": "min_scenarios"
        },
        {
          "row_type": "need",
          "key": "towing_and_loaded_family_road_trip_stability",
          "reason": "min_scenarios"
        },
        {
          "row_type": "need",
          "key": "value_conscious_everyday_replacement_set",
          "reason": "min_scenarios"
        },
        {
          "row_type": "need",
          "key": "winter_and_severe_snow_cold_weather_traction",
          "reason": "min_scenarios"
        },
        {
          "row_type": "need",
          "key": "year_round_all_season_slush_and_rain_versatility",
          "reason": "min_scenarios"
        }
      ]
    },
    "by_need": [],
    "stale_flags": [
      "brand_names_only"
    ],
    "n_scenarios": 60,
    "precision_label": "measured",
    "languages": [
      "en"
    ],
    "presentation": "brand_names_only"
  },
  "payload_sha256": "e376e5da4f4f90466dbd41eb64b8eda0a6e75b4109ced68508204ad4bb246e4a",
  "signature": {
    "alg": "EdDSA",
    "kid": "FnG9tqyrr6Y0YUh6teXhpERjAKUSfzL78m4WdnEZ9Jg",
    "key_class": "production",
    "jws": "eyJhbGciOiJFZERTQSIsImN0eSI6ImJhdHRsZV9zdW1tYXJ5Iiwia2lkIjoiRm5HOXRxeXJyNlkwWVVoNnRlWGhwRVJqQUtVU2Z6TDc4bTRXZG5FWjlKZyIsInR5cCI6InBpY2tiZW5jaC1zbmFwc2hvdCtqd3MifQ..Hx8nqtAPkeRlVWBQdHCYNt-7tAL3FOHkw_sWfp-Wqa1etks1Cd9ZRaCps5gfokO-Sb8_FfY_50HWwZbgBgTIDQ"
  }
}