Coffee makers
Which brand 5 AI models pick, with intervals.
Fast panel · Panel, equal weight
- anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5 @ claude-haiku-5.5 via OpenRouter (20%)
- openai/gpt-6-luna @ gpt-6-luna via OpenRouter (20%)
- google/gemini-4-argon @ gemini-4-argon via OpenRouter (20%)
- mistralai/mistral-large-4-0 @ mistral-large-4-0 via OpenRouter (20%)
- deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash @ deepseek-v4.1-flash via OpenRouter (20%)
Too closeNo single favourite: Breville, Cuisinart, De'Longhi, Fellow, Hamilton Beach, Keurig, Mr. Coffee, Nespresso, Ninja, and Technivorm Moccamaster share the top tier for these 5 API models.
Tier 1
- Technivorm Moccamaster44%95% interval 29–60%plausible rank 1–10
- Hamilton Beach30%95% interval 20–42%plausible rank 1–11
- Ninja30%95% interval 18–45%plausible rank 1–11
- Mr. Coffee30%95% interval 18–43%plausible rank 1–11
- Breville28%95% interval 15–43%plausible rank 1–11
- Cuisinart23%95% interval 13–35%plausible rank 1–11
- Keurig23%95% interval 10–38%plausible rank 1–11
- Fellow23%95% interval 12–36%plausible rank 1–11
- De'Longhi19%95% interval 9–31%plausible rank 1–11
- Nespresso14%95% interval 5–26%plausible rank 1–11
Tier 2
- KitchenAid13%95% interval 5–25%plausible rank 2–11
Drag across the chart to probe a share.
Too closeNo single favourite: Breville, Cuisinart, De'Longhi, Fellow, Hamilton Beach, Keurig, Mr. Coffee, Nespresso, Ninja, and Technivorm Moccamaster share the top tier for these 5 API models.
| Brand | Choice share | 95% interval | Plausible rank | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technivorm Moccamaster | 44% | 29–60% | 1–10 | Tier 1 |
| Hamilton Beach | 30% | 20–42% | 1–11 | Tier 1 |
| Ninja | 30% | 18–45% | 1–11 | Tier 1 |
| Mr. Coffee | 30% | 18–43% | 1–11 | Tier 1 |
| Breville | 28% | 15–43% | 1–11 | Tier 1 |
| Cuisinart | 23% | 13–35% | 1–11 | Tier 1 |
| Keurig | 23% | 10–38% | 1–11 | Tier 1 |
| Fellow | 23% | 12–36% | 1–11 | Tier 1 |
| De'Longhi | 19% | 9–31% | 1–11 | Tier 1 |
| Nespresso | 14% | 5–26% | 1–11 | Tier 1 |
| KitchenAid | 13% | 5–25% | 2–11 | Tier 2 |
How to read this
- Choice share: how often models pick a brand when it appears in a shortlist of 4. Chance is 25%, the dashed line.
- The band is the 95% interval; the bright tick is the estimate. Overlapping bands are not a strict order.
- Tiers are published: a tier groups brands not distinguishable from that tier's leader. Same tier does not mean equal.
- Rank shows the plausible rank range, not a strict place.
- Drag across the chart to probe a share and see which intervals contain it.
- Brand names only: the models saw each option as a brand name, with no product facts, and answered from their own knowledge.
- Fast panel: the fast or small current models of each vendor, not the full flagship panel.
- Beta: intervals are not yet small-sample calibrated.
- Each page shows the latest edition. Dates are in the downloadable JSON.
Panel and conditions
Each edition puts the brands of the category to a panel of AI models, called through their APIs, in randomized shortlists of 4 (chance is 25%). Each option was a brand name only, with no product facts, prices or any commercial data, so a brand's share measures which brand the models recommend from their own knowledge for the shopper needs of the scenarios. Shares come with 95% intervals; tiers and rank intervals are simultaneous at the same level.
- anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5 @ claude-haiku-5.5 via OpenRouter (20%)
- openai/gpt-6-luna @ gpt-6-luna via OpenRouter (20%)
- google/gemini-4-argon @ gemini-4-argon via OpenRouter (20%)
- mistralai/mistral-large-4-0 @ mistral-large-4-0 via OpenRouter (20%)
- deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash @ deepseek-v4.1-flash via OpenRouter (20%)
Conditions: closed-book API calls via OpenRouter (pinned providers); web search, grounding, tools and retrieval off; forced choice; 2 paraphrases per scenario in English.
Methodology: ACM-1.0-chart-draft (draft rules for movement, significance and events, awaiting review).