Espresso machines
Which brand 5 AI models pick, with intervals.
Fast panel · Panel, equal weight
- anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5 @ claude-haiku-5.5 via OpenRouter (20%)
- openai/gpt-6-luna @ gpt-6-luna via OpenRouter (20%)
- google/gemini-4-argon @ gemini-4-argon via OpenRouter (20%)
- mistralai/mistral-large-4-0 @ mistral-large-4-0 via OpenRouter (20%)
- deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash @ deepseek-v4.1-flash via OpenRouter (20%)
ClearBreville stands alone in the top tier for these 5 API models.
Tier 1
- Breville72%95% interval 62–82%plausible rank 1
Tier 2
- De'Longhi40%95% interval 28–51%plausible rank 2–7
- JURA39%95% interval 29%–< 50%plausible rank 2–7
- Rancilio37%95% interval 25%–< 50%plausible rank 2–7
- Nespresso29%95% interval 19–41%plausible rank 2–7
- Gaggia27%95% interval 17–38%plausible rank 2–8
- KitchenAid17%95% interval 9–29%plausible rank 2–11
Tier 3
- Cuisinart5%95% interval 1–13%plausible rank 7–11
- SMEG4%95% interval 1–12%plausible rank 6–11
- Ninja3%95% interval 1–7%plausible rank 7–11
- Mr. Coffee1%95% interval 0–5%plausible rank 7–11
Drag across the chart to probe a share.
ClearBreville stands alone in the top tier for these 5 API models.
| Brand | Choice share | 95% interval | Plausible rank | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breville | 72% | 62–82% | 1 | Tier 1 |
| De'Longhi | 40% | 28–51% | 2–7 | Tier 2 |
| JURA | 39% | 29%–< 50% | 2–7 | Tier 2 |
| Rancilio | 37% | 25%–< 50% | 2–7 | Tier 2 |
| Nespresso | 29% | 19–41% | 2–7 | Tier 2 |
| Gaggia | 27% | 17–38% | 2–8 | Tier 2 |
| KitchenAid | 17% | 9–29% | 2–11 | Tier 2 |
| Cuisinart | 5% | 1–13% | 7–11 | Tier 3 |
| SMEG | 4% | 1–12% | 6–11 | Tier 3 |
| Ninja | 3% | 1–7% | 7–11 | Tier 3 |
| Mr. Coffee | 1% | 0–5% | 7–11 | Tier 3 |
How to read this
- Choice share: how often models pick a brand when it appears in a shortlist of 4. Chance is 25%, the dashed line.
- The band is the 95% interval; the bright tick is the estimate. Overlapping bands are not a strict order.
- Tiers are published: a tier groups brands not distinguishable from that tier's leader. Same tier does not mean equal.
- Rank shows the plausible rank range, not a strict place.
- Drag across the chart to probe a share and see which intervals contain it.
- Brand names only: the models saw each option as a brand name, with no product facts, and answered from their own knowledge.
- Fast panel: the fast or small current models of each vendor, not the full flagship panel.
- Each page shows the latest edition. Dates are in the downloadable JSON.
Panel and conditions
Each edition puts the brands of the category to a panel of AI models, called through their APIs, in randomized shortlists of 4 (chance is 25%). Each option was a brand name only, with no product facts, prices or any commercial data, so a brand's share measures which brand the models recommend from their own knowledge for the shopper needs of the scenarios. Shares come with 95% intervals; tiers and rank intervals are simultaneous at the same level.
- anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5 @ claude-haiku-5.5 via OpenRouter (20%)
- openai/gpt-6-luna @ gpt-6-luna via OpenRouter (20%)
- google/gemini-4-argon @ gemini-4-argon via OpenRouter (20%)
- mistralai/mistral-large-4-0 @ mistral-large-4-0 via OpenRouter (20%)
- deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash @ deepseek-v4.1-flash via OpenRouter (20%)
Conditions: closed-book API calls via OpenRouter (pinned providers); web search, grounding, tools and retrieval off; forced choice; 2 paraphrases per scenario in English.
Methodology: ACM-1.0-chart-draft (draft rules for movement, significance and events, awaiting review).