Outdoor grills
Which brand 5 AI models pick, with intervals.
Fast panel · Panel, equal weight
- anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5 @ claude-haiku-5.5 via OpenRouter (20%)
- openai/gpt-6-luna @ gpt-6-luna via OpenRouter (20%)
- google/gemini-4-argon @ gemini-4-argon via OpenRouter (20%)
- mistralai/mistral-large-4-0 @ mistral-large-4-0 via OpenRouter (20%)
- deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash @ deepseek-v4.1-flash via OpenRouter (20%)
Too closeNo single favourite: Kamado Joe, Napoleon, and Weber share the top tier for these 5 API models.
Tier 1
- Weber66%95% interval 53–77%plausible rank 1–3
- Napoleon39%95% interval 29%–< 50%plausible rank 1–9
- Kamado Joe33%95% interval 21–45%plausible rank 1–10
Tier 2
- Broil King29%95% interval 19–39%plausible rank 2–10
- Char-Broil22%95% interval 11–34%plausible rank 2–11
- Big Green Egg21%95% interval 12–33%plausible rank 2–11
- Traeger19%95% interval 10–32%plausible rank 2–11
- Nexgrill15%95% interval 6–28%plausible rank 2–11
- Pit Boss15%95% interval 7–26%plausible rank 2–11
- Blackstone13%95% interval 6–22%plausible rank 3–11
Tier 3
- Masterbuilt4%95% interval 1–10%plausible rank 5–11
Drag across the chart to probe a share.
Too closeNo single favourite: Kamado Joe, Napoleon, and Weber share the top tier for these 5 API models.
| Brand | Choice share | 95% interval | Plausible rank | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weber | 66% | 53–77% | 1–3 | Tier 1 |
| Napoleon | 39% | 29%–< 50% | 1–9 | Tier 1 |
| Kamado Joe | 33% | 21–45% | 1–10 | Tier 1 |
| Broil King | 29% | 19–39% | 2–10 | Tier 2 |
| Char-Broil | 22% | 11–34% | 2–11 | Tier 2 |
| Big Green Egg | 21% | 12–33% | 2–11 | Tier 2 |
| Traeger | 19% | 10–32% | 2–11 | Tier 2 |
| Nexgrill | 15% | 6–28% | 2–11 | Tier 2 |
| Pit Boss | 15% | 7–26% | 2–11 | Tier 2 |
| Blackstone | 13% | 6–22% | 3–11 | Tier 2 |
| Masterbuilt | 4% | 1–10% | 5–11 | Tier 3 |
How to read this
- Choice share: how often models pick a brand when it appears in a shortlist of 4. Chance is 25%, the dashed line.
- The band is the 95% interval; the bright tick is the estimate. Overlapping bands are not a strict order.
- Tiers are published: a tier groups brands not distinguishable from that tier's leader. Same tier does not mean equal.
- Rank shows the plausible rank range, not a strict place.
- Drag across the chart to probe a share and see which intervals contain it.
- Brand names only: the models saw each option as a brand name, with no product facts, and answered from their own knowledge.
- Fast panel: the fast or small current models of each vendor, not the full flagship panel.
- Beta: intervals are not yet small-sample calibrated.
- Each page shows the latest edition. Dates are in the downloadable JSON.
Panel and conditions
Each edition puts the brands of the category to a panel of AI models, called through their APIs, in randomized shortlists of 4 (chance is 25%). Each option was a brand name only, with no product facts, prices or any commercial data, so a brand's share measures which brand the models recommend from their own knowledge for the shopper needs of the scenarios. Shares come with 95% intervals; tiers and rank intervals are simultaneous at the same level.
- anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5 @ claude-haiku-5.5 via OpenRouter (20%)
- openai/gpt-6-luna @ gpt-6-luna via OpenRouter (20%)
- google/gemini-4-argon @ gemini-4-argon via OpenRouter (20%)
- mistralai/mistral-large-4-0 @ mistral-large-4-0 via OpenRouter (20%)
- deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash @ deepseek-v4.1-flash via OpenRouter (20%)
Conditions: closed-book API calls via OpenRouter (pinned providers); web search, grounding, tools and retrieval off; forced choice; 2 paraphrases per scenario in English.
Methodology: ACM-1.0-chart-draft (draft rules for movement, significance and events, awaiting review).