Smart locks
Which brand 5 AI models pick, with intervals.
Fast panel · Panel, equal weight
- anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5 @ claude-haiku-5.5 via OpenRouter (20%)
- openai/gpt-6-luna @ gpt-6-luna via OpenRouter (20%)
- google/gemini-4-argon @ gemini-4-argon via OpenRouter (20%)
- mistralai/mistral-large-4-0 @ mistral-large-4-0 via OpenRouter (20%)
- deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash @ deepseek-v4.1-flash via OpenRouter (20%)
Too closeNo single favourite: Schlage and Yale share the top tier for these 5 API models.
Tier 1
- Schlage73%95% interval 65–80%plausible rank 1–2
- Yale57%95% interval 48–67%plausible rank 1–2
Tier 2
- Ultraloq34%95% interval 25–44%plausible rank 3–6
- Kwikset28%95% interval 18–39%plausible rank 3–7
- eufy19%95% interval 12–27%plausible rank 3–8
- Lockly18%95% interval 11–26%plausible rank 3–8
Tier 3
- Aqara14%95% interval 8–21%plausible rank 4–8
- Alfred6%95% interval 2–12%plausible rank 5–10
Tier 4
- Wyze1%95% interval 0–7%plausible rank 8–10
- Tapo1%95% interval 0–6%plausible rank 8–10
Drag across the chart to probe a share.
Too closeNo single favourite: Schlage and Yale share the top tier for these 5 API models.
| Brand | Choice share | 95% interval | Plausible rank | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Schlage | 73% | 65–80% | 1–2 | Tier 1 |
| Yale | 57% | 48–67% | 1–2 | Tier 1 |
| Ultraloq | 34% | 25–44% | 3–6 | Tier 2 |
| Kwikset | 28% | 18–39% | 3–7 | Tier 2 |
| eufy | 19% | 12–27% | 3–8 | Tier 2 |
| Lockly | 18% | 11–26% | 3–8 | Tier 2 |
| Aqara | 14% | 8–21% | 4–8 | Tier 3 |
| Alfred | 6% | 2–12% | 5–10 | Tier 3 |
| Wyze | 1% | 0–7% | 8–10 | Tier 4 |
| Tapo | 1% | 0–6% | 8–10 | Tier 4 |
How to read this
- Choice share: how often models pick a brand when it appears in a shortlist of 4. Chance is 25%, the dashed line.
- The band is the 95% interval; the bright tick is the estimate. Overlapping bands are not a strict order.
- Tiers are published: a tier groups brands not distinguishable from that tier's leader. Same tier does not mean equal.
- Rank shows the plausible rank range, not a strict place.
- Drag across the chart to probe a share and see which intervals contain it.
- Brand names only: the models saw each option as a brand name, with no product facts, and answered from their own knowledge.
- Fast panel: the fast or small current models of each vendor, not the full flagship panel.
- Each page shows the latest edition. Dates are in the downloadable JSON.
Panel and conditions
Each edition puts the brands of the category to a panel of AI models, called through their APIs, in randomized shortlists of 4 (chance is 25%). Each option was a brand name only, with no product facts, prices or any commercial data, so a brand's share measures which brand the models recommend from their own knowledge for the shopper needs of the scenarios. Shares come with 95% intervals; tiers and rank intervals are simultaneous at the same level.
- anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5 @ claude-haiku-5.5 via OpenRouter (20%)
- openai/gpt-6-luna @ gpt-6-luna via OpenRouter (20%)
- google/gemini-4-argon @ gemini-4-argon via OpenRouter (20%)
- mistralai/mistral-large-4-0 @ mistral-large-4-0 via OpenRouter (20%)
- deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash @ deepseek-v4.1-flash via OpenRouter (20%)
Conditions: closed-book API calls via OpenRouter (pinned providers); web search, grounding, tools and retrieval off; forced choice; 2 paraphrases per scenario in English.
Methodology: ACM-1.0-chart-draft (draft rules for movement, significance and events, awaiting review).