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Which brand 5 AI models pick, with intervals.

60 scenariosBrand names only

Fast panel · Panel, equal weight

  • anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5 @ claude-haiku-5.5 via OpenRouter (20%)
  • openai/gpt-6-luna @ gpt-6-luna via OpenRouter (20%)
  • google/gemini-4-argon @ gemini-4-argon via OpenRouter (20%)
  • mistralai/mistral-large-4-0 @ mistral-large-4-0 via OpenRouter (20%)
  • deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash @ deepseek-v4.1-flash via OpenRouter (20%)

Too closeNo single favourite: Dropbox, Google Drive, Microsoft OneDrive, and pCloud share the top tier for these 5 API models.

Choice share · 95% interval
0255075100

Tier 1

  1. Dropbox57%95% interval 46–69%plausible rank 1–4
  2. Google Drive47%95% interval 35–59%plausible rank 1–5
  3. Microsoft OneDrive33%95% interval 23–43%plausible rank 1–9
  4. pCloud30%95% interval 20–41%plausible rank 1–9

Tier 2

  1. Box23%95% interval 13–35%plausible rank 2–10
  2. Sync.com18%95% interval 10–28%plausible rank 3–10
  3. IDrive12%95% interval 6–22%plausible rank 3–10
  4. MEGA11%95% interval 5–20%plausible rank 3–10
  5. Proton Drive10%95% interval 4–21%plausible rank 3–10
  6. iCloud Drive8%95% interval 3–16%plausible rank 5–10

Changes since the previous edition

The judge panel changed since the previous edition, so shares are not compared between the two.

  • mistralai/mistral-large-4-0 @ mistral-large-4-0 via OpenRouter: same model, new judge settings

This note was added after publication from the published editions; the signed snapshot is unchanged. Corrections log

How to read this
  • Choice share: how often models pick a brand when it appears in a shortlist of 4. Chance is 25%, the dashed line.
  • The band is the 95% interval; the bright tick is the estimate. Overlapping bands are not a strict order.
  • Tiers are published: a tier groups brands not distinguishable from that tier's leader. Same tier does not mean equal.
  • Rank shows the plausible rank range, not a strict place.
  • Drag across the chart to probe a share and see which intervals contain it.
  • Brand names only: the models saw each option as a brand name, with no product facts, and answered from their own knowledge.
  • Fast panel: the fast or small current models of each vendor, not the full flagship panel.
  • Each page shows the latest edition. Dates are in the downloadable JSON.

Panel and conditions

Each edition puts the brands of the category to a panel of AI models, called through their APIs, in randomized shortlists of 4 (chance is 25%). Each option was a brand name only, with no product facts, prices or any commercial data, so a brand's share measures which brand the models recommend from their own knowledge for the shopper needs of the scenarios. Shares come with 95% intervals; tiers and rank intervals are simultaneous at the same level.

  • anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5 @ claude-haiku-5.5 via OpenRouter (20%)
  • openai/gpt-6-luna @ gpt-6-luna via OpenRouter (20%)
  • google/gemini-4-argon @ gemini-4-argon via OpenRouter (20%)
  • mistralai/mistral-large-4-0 @ mistral-large-4-0 via OpenRouter (20%)
  • deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash @ deepseek-v4.1-flash via OpenRouter (20%)

Conditions: closed-book API calls via OpenRouter (pinned providers); web search, grounding, tools and retrieval off; forced choice; 2 paraphrases per scenario in English.

Methodology: ACM-1.0-chart-draft (draft rules for movement, significance and events, awaiting review).

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